AUD: Chances of a February rate cut seen at around 40%


The market is pricing in a modest increase in the chances of a February rate cut by the RBA after…

Cable: Hanging on grimly to the 1.58 handle


As I've said a few times recently, cable is extremely tricky to trade at the moment. There have…

EUR/JPY: Bids reported nearby


Hearing from the interbank market that there are some bids in EUR/JPY at 117.65 which are providing…

Yen crosses likely to have a quiet session


I can't say I have done any exhaustive research on the phenomenon, but it seems to me that markets…

AUD: Still stuck in range-trading mode


The market is not expecting a rate cut from the RBA next month, largely ignoring poor domestic…

Asian market open


You can click through here and read my full opening commentary on FX Street.

Short-term technical outlook updated


I've updated the outlooks for EUR/JPY, USD/JPY, EUR/CHF and EUR/USD in the members section. In…

EUR/CHF: Hoping to buy near 1.2270


EUR/JPY is undergoing its buy-the-rumour-sell-the-fact experience and it has dragged EUR/CHF lower…

EUR/USD: Trading near session highs as Europe opens


The ZEW survey may add to volatility a bit during European trade but I must confess that I have no…

AUD getting a boost from commodity market


China has raised its booking prices in the steel market for the 3rd consecutive month and this is…

USD/JPY: Longs getting very nervous; safer to sell intraday rallies


Despite the best efforts of the BOJ, the market is simply overly long of USD/JPY still. It has…

USD/JPY: Looks like trailing stops nuked below 89.30


Hearing next batch of stops below 88.90.

USD/JPY: Then again, maybe everyone gets stuffed


Which would be the normal course of events in the FX market! First USD/JPY shorts get squeezed…

BOJ: Probably enough there to satisfy the Yen bears


The 'open-ended easing' should be broad enough to encourage the market into some more Yen selling…

USD/JPY: 2% inflation target but no set timeline


USD/JPY zoomed up to 90.05 but is struggling to hang on to the gains as details remain thin on when…

Yen dealers bit trigger-happy but no announcement yet


Quick spike up in the Yen crosses on old headlines and rumours but as yet no announcement. Normally…

AUD/USD: Sad days when market is excited by a 20 pip move


The AUD/USD has been stuck in neutral for the last few weeks and it doesn't take much to get the…

Opportunities in non-Yen pairs post BOJ


One of my favorite pastimes is looking for trades in pairs which shouldn't be affected by…