Market now pricing in 60% chance of rate cut in February


That's two months ahead of the event so you can't tell me that the statement was anything other…

RBA: “Headline CPI will rise above 3% briefly”


Looks like this sentence in the statement is what has caused the AUD to rally. Doesn't make sense…

AUD rallies despite rate cut and ‘neutral’ statement


The teflon currency strikes again. Looks like the intraday market was short but to rally by 40 pips…

EUR/JPY: Look for trading opportunities post RBA


Whatever the RBA does AUD/JPY will move which in turn means that EUR/JPY will move. I'm looking for…

AUD/JPY: Bears looking for break below 85.20


     According to positional reports in the professional market, it would seem that there has been…

AUD session outlook


Obviously the rate decision is the big risk event today and I'd expect the market to stay…

EUR/USD session outlook


Greek 10-year bonds had a massive 124bp fall last night and hedge fund squawk boxes are filled with…

Asian market open


You can click through here and read my full opening commentary on FX Street.

The day ahead in the FX market, Tuesday December 4th


RBA rate decision later this afternoon, with the market pricing in a 90% chance of a 25bps rate…

RBA tomorrow: Futures market pricing in 90% liklihood of a 25bps cut


We should be in for a busy day tomorrow here in Asia, in fact the whole week should be busy. No…

Still like the buy-dips play in EUR crosses


     It's very early days on the long-term EUR/AUD chart but the possibility of a basing formation…

GFT shutting down US trading operation


One of the biggest retail brokers in the US, GFT, is reportedly shutting down its operations over…

EUR easing a bit into European open


EUR/USD closed on Friday in NY around 1.2995, dropped in early interbank trade to 1.2975, but since…

Quick overview of Asian trade


China official services PMI 55.6, up from 55.5 last month: HSBC manufacturing PMI 50.5: Australian…

Risk-on traders preferring to buy EUR ahead of AUD


Today's PMI data out of China was reasonably promising but the poor domestic data in Australia has…

EUR/USD: Next resistance is trendline near 1.3065


     The trendline from 1.3485 comes in near 1.3065 and that is the next technical resistance…

EUR/AUD: Looks like stops triggered above 1.2500


The AUD is staying weak after the poor domestic economic data and EUR/AUD has gapped sharply higher…

AUD/JPY tests first layer of bids after weak data


We are presently trading near 85.70 after weak domestic job-ads and retail sales data. AUD/USD is…